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Food & hospitality / Question & answer

Restaurant: How many sales are needed beyond break-even?

Plan completed sales to cover overhead and an entered profit target.

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Restaurant / cover economics
Answer

The unit contribution must be positive. Check whether delivery capacity can support the resulting volume.

Try this with your own numbers

Formula and worked example

Required volume = ceiling((fixed costs + target profit) / unit contribution)

Example figures
InputExample
Period fixed costs8,000
Target operating profit4,000
Revenue per cover500
Variable cost per cover300
Calculated result60 sales

Choose reliable inputs

Track purchased quantities, usable yield, labour and waste before deciding on a selling price. For this restaurant calculation, use recipe sheets, supplier invoices and stock counts and a consistent definition of one cover.

  • Ingredients: include the portion belonging to this cover or reporting period, and record where the value came from.
  • Service labour: include the portion belonging to this cover or reporting period, and record where the value came from.
  • Facility overhead: include the portion belonging to this cover or reporting period, and record where the value came from.

Use the same currency for every money input. Do not mix weekly costs with monthly revenue, or count the same expense in both an itemised cost and allocated overhead.

How many sales are needed beyond break-even?

The unit contribution must be positive. Check whether delivery capacity can support the resulting volume.

Compare a different assumption

What if this input changes?

If period fixed costs rises by 10%, this example changes by 4 sales. This shows the effect of one change; it does not predict what will happen.

Open the calculator, save your baseline, then change the input supported by the least reliable estimate in your records. Compare both scenarios before committing to a price or capacity promise.

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